Daralbeida  ·  Strategic Intelligence
70

Guelmim-Oued Noun  ·  Morocco Ministry of Agriculture

Olive plantation
scenario calculator

Adjust scale, yield, extraction, and market price to model outcomes and 10-year cash flows. All figures update in real time.

Source: agriculture.gov.ma — Plantation de l'olivier, commune Timoulay, province de Guelmim
10-year cash flow projections
Yield ramp: 0% · 0% · 5% · 20% · 45% · 70% · 88% · 100% · 100% · 100% · 100%
Operating cost: 17,000 MAD/ha/yr  ·  Investment expensed in Year 0
Income
cumulative 10-year revenue
Annual income timeline
Expense
cumulative 10-year costs
Annual expense timeline
Profit / Loss
cumulative 10-year net
Annual P&L timeline
Calculating…
Parameters — adjust to model scenarios
Grove & harvest
Hectares planted 70ha
10 ha300 ha
Baseline: 70 ha
Olive yield
< 3 t/ha → poor season, drought stress, or young trees 3–6 t/ha → normal range for traditional dryland groves 6–10 t/ha → strong; drip irrigation or optimal conditions > 10 t/ha → exceptional; intensive or super-intensive system
6.0t / ha 43%
1 t/ha14 t/ha
Baseline: 6 t/ha
Oil extraction rate
< 14% → early harvest, stressed trees, high moisture, or difficult paste 14–18% → normal for early to mid-season premium EVOO 18–22% → strong yield for ripe fruit and high-oil cultivars > 22% → exceptional; usually very ripe olives or naturally high-oil varieties
20%
14%26%
Picholine Marocaine: 18–22%
Harvest season 75days
45 days120 days
Moroccan olive campaign: Oct–Dec

Market & economics
Oil market price 60MAD / L
20 MAD130 MAD
Annual operating cost 17K MAD / ha
8K35K
Irrigated olive, Morocco avg: 15–20K
Investment / ha 119K MAD / ha
40K400K MAD/ha
Baseline: ~119K MAD/ha (8.32M ÷ 70 ha)
Total olive harvest
420t/yr
tonnes of olives per year
Oil produced
91,800L
litres of EVOO per year
Harvest value
at market price per litre
0.5 L bottles
183,600
consumer units per year
Workers during harvest
42workers
44 h/week · Morocco Labour Code
Investment per hectare
capital intensity
Oil yield per hectare
— baseline
Revenue vs. investment
— baseline
MAD invested per litre produced
— baseline